Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000166 0.000184 0.000203 0.000226 0.000251 0.000278 0.000310
2025-08-03 0.000135 0.000161 0.000192 0.000231 0.000278 0.000335 0.000408
2025-08-10 0.000112 0.000142 0.000179 0.000228 0.000292 0.000374 0.000488
2025-08-17 0.000097 0.000129 0.000169 0.000226 0.000305 0.000412 0.000569
2025-08-24 0.000085 0.000117 0.000160 0.000222 0.000313 0.000442 0.000641
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000106 0.000149 0.000215 0.000314 0.000461 0.000699
2025-09-07 0.000069 0.000100 0.000144 0.000215 0.000326 0.000496 0.000786
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000096 0.000142 0.000219 0.000343 0.000541 0.000892
2025-09-21 0.000058 0.000089 0.000136 0.000215 0.000346 0.000564 0.000965
2025-09-28 0.000052 0.000082 0.000128 0.000206 0.000342 0.000574 0.001014
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000079 0.000126 0.000209 0.000357 0.000616 0.001129
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000215 0.000376 0.000670 0.001273
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000074 0.000123 0.000214 0.000385 0.000707 0.001390
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000071 0.000121 0.000217 0.000402 0.000762 0.001557
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000214 0.000407 0.000794 0.001679
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000064 0.000113 0.000212 0.000414 0.000832 0.001820
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000060 0.000109 0.000209 0.000417 0.000859 0.001943
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000056 0.000104 0.000202 0.000412 0.000870 0.002027
2025-11-30 0.000030 0.000054 0.000102 0.000202 0.000423 0.000916 0.002206
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000205 0.000440 0.000981 0.002444
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000051 0.000098 0.000201 0.000441 0.001006 0.002581
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000047 0.000092 0.000194 0.000432 0.001007 0.002652
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000046 0.000092 0.000196 0.000448 0.001070 0.002912